When demographers play the Game of Thrones
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When demographers play the Game of Thrones
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A violent world

Photo la bataille des batards

Fig. 1: Battle of the Bastards: a bloody time! - ©HBO

1. The medieval context justified violence?

The world of Game of Thrones is not a place anyone would want to be – a world where violence is omnipresent. This violence seems plausible, however, because the show is inspired by the medieval era, today perceived as ‘a Dark Age’. By watching a medieval fantasy series, the viewer therefore expects violence. Historian Jacques Le Goff, author of In search of the Middle Ages, 2006, denounced this dark legend of the barbarous Middle Ages. What about the artists, the thinkers and the scholar, he asked? What about Giotto or Thomas Aquinas.?). In Westeros justice is settled by duelsIsaac, I. (2014). « Mountain vs. Viper Duel Echoes Medieval History », History Behind Game of Thrones and the death penalty is common. Ned StarkNed Stark
chance of death:
100%
in the first episode, beheads a deserter in front of his young children as a lesson: “the man who passes the sentence must wield the sword”. The books are not sparing in raw and choking details of violence, but the emotional impact of television make this world appear even more violent and shocking.

2. About Game of Thrones mortality

Photo carte des décès

Fig. 2: Death distribution map

This world of violence had sometimes been harshly criticized as being a "gratuitous violence(2015). « Le viol de trop dans “Game of Thrones” ». In: Courrier International. [Online] https://www.courrierinternational.com/article/serie-le-viol-de-trop-dans-game-thrones". This nonetheless has the advantage of giving data to Romane and Lucas. As demographers"a person who studies changes in numbers of births, marriages, deaths, etc. in an area over a period of time" Cambridge Dictionary, they focus particularly on mortality. Yet, to study this phenomenon, a large number of deaths is needed. During the seven seasons, 205 out of the 398 characters studied die (a death rate of more than half!). Life expectancy is also very low because half of the characters survive less than eight episodes.

The characters die frequently, quickly but also violently: only two deaths out of the 205 studied are from natural causes! And yeta poisoning can easily be mistaken with a sickness, as Jon Arryn could affirm if he was still breathing. . Therefore, Maester Aemon Targaryen is to fiction what Jeanne Calment is to reality: an exception. He manages to die of old age at 104, after spending a large part of his life living in Castle Black where life expectancy is not high.

The probability of a character dying violently during the first season is 23%! As a comparison, Colombia, during its recent war between the government, paramilitaries and guerrillas, had aa homicide rate of 61 per 100.000 inhabitants, according to the WHO. In France the rate is 1.35 per 100,000, France’s annual murder rate of 825 would have to rise to 15.5 million per year to match the world of Game of Thrones.

3. A world where men aware of their fate

This is a violent world and the characters are aware of their vulnerability. References to death are not lacking, as in the Stark’s family motto:

“Winter is coming”. This sentence makes sense only if one knows its real significance: with winter come the White Walkers, and with them, death. Dothrakis are considered violent barbarians, and Illyrio MopatisMagister Illyrio Mopatis
chance of death:
63%
says about them: “A dothraki wedding without at least three deaths is considered boring”. Sorry Aunt Suzanne, you should not have criticized the seating plan.
The religious society of assassins called the Faceless Men worship the Many-Faced God, death divinity. They have as their motto “Valar morghulis” which translates from High Valyrian as “All Men Must Die”. To rise to the Salt Throne (clearly less prestigious than the Iron Throne), an Ironborn has to drown himself… and comeback to life; because, as the saying says, “what is dead may never die, but rises again, harder and stronger’.
Photo house Stark

House Strak words. So much fun…

Photo Dothraki

Dothraki: violent people in a violent world.

Photo Sans-Visage

All men must die: as late as possible, preferably.

Photo house Greyjoy

Die to live, outstanding move!

Photo house Stark
House Strak words. So much fun… “Winter is coming” certainly makes reference to the Stark’s policy. This sentence take all its meaning only if one knows its real significance: with winter come the White Walkers, and with them, death.


Photo dotraki
Dothraki: violent people in a violent world. Dothrakis are considered violent barbarians. Illyrio MopatisMagister Illyrio Mopatis
chance of death:
63%
says about them: “A dothraki wedding without at least three deaths is considered boring”. Sorry Aunt Suzanne, you should not have criticized the seating plan.


Photo Sans-Visage
All men must die: as late as possible, preferably. The religious society of assassins called the Faceless Men worship the Many-Faced God, death divinity. They have as their motto “Valar morghulis” which translates from High Valyrian as “All Men Must Die”.


Photo house Greyjoy
Die to live, outstanding move! To rise to the Salt Throne (clearly less prestigious than the Iron Throne), an Ironborn has to drown himself… and comeback to life; because, as the saying says, “what is dead may never die, but rises again, harder and stronger".

4. How did characters die?

We counted more than 200 deaths among the 400 named characters, which break down into nine major forms of death.

A) The classics: 120 characters killed by straightforward violence

Blades
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Long range weapons
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Other weapons
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Bare hands
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86 characters

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Ned StarkPhoto du personnage
chance of death
100%

episode 109

16 characters

img_infographie

Rickon StarkPhoto du personnage
chance of death
35%

episode 609

10 characters

img_infographie

Trystan MartellPhoto du personnage
chance of death
96%

episode 601

8 characters

img_infographie

Oberyn MartellPhoto du personnage
chance of death
100%

episode 408

img_infographie

B) The special snowflakes: 54 characters killed by judicial punishment, torture or poison

Burnt alive
img_infographie
Poisoned
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Skinned alive
img_infographie
Killed by an animal
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Hanged
img_infographie

22 characters

img_infographie

Kraznys mo NaklozPhoto du personnage
chance of death
85%

episode 304

10 characters

img_infographie

Joffrey BarathéonPhoto du personnage
chance of death
90%

episode 402

8 characters

img_infographie

Adrack HumblePhoto du personnage
chance of death
56%

episode 408

7 characters

img_infographie

Ramsay BoltonPhoto du personnage
chance of death
96%

episode 609

7 characters

img_infographie

Alliser ThornePhoto du personnage
chance of death
95%

episode 603

img_infographie

C) The difficult ones…

Some characters death cannot be classified. What about Viserys TargaryenViserys Targaryen
chance of death:
100%
who died because of his so required gold crown? What about Lysa Arryn death? Truly entertaining, for sure, but how can we define this type of death? What about Lothar FreyLothar Frey
chance of death:
84%
? We know AryaArya Stark
chance of death:
5%
killed him, cooked him and made his father eat him, but we do not exactly know how the young Stark killed him.

In Game of Thrones like elsewhere, death is therefore certain. It remains only to tell her “Not today”. Syrio ForelSyrio Forel
change of death:
96%
to Arya Stark about death, ep. 106.

References

Death in GoT

Cesbron, M. (2016). « Pourquoi Game of Thrones est un cas clinique  ». In: Le Point Pop. [Online]: http://www.lepoint.fr/pop-culture/series/pourquoi-game-of-thrones-est-un-cas-clinique-17-05-2016-2039830_2957.php

Chapon, B. (2014). « Comment « Game of Thrones » est devenu le phénomène pop des années 2010 ». In: 20 minutes. [Online] https://www.20minutes.fr/television/1342261-20140403-comment-game-of-thrones-devenu-phenomene-pop-annees-2010

Langlais, P. (2017). « “Game of Thrones”, le succès en dix leçons ». In: Télérama. [Online]: http://www.telerama.fr/series-tv/game-of-thrones-le-succes-en-dix-lecons,160044.php

Marzolf, H. et Mury, C. (2010). « “Game of thrones”, la série souveraine ». In: Télérama. [Online] http://www.telerama.fr/television/game-of-thrones-serie-souveraine,102962.php

Real world

Brossat, T. et Delavier, L. (2014). « “Game of Thrones”: violence, sexe et Moyen Âge ». In: Esprit, n°8, p. 240. [Online]: https://www.cairn-int.info/article-E_ESPRI_1408_0217--game-of-thrones-violence-and-sex-in.htm,

Meslé, Fr. et Vallin, J. (2000). « Transition sanitaire: tendances et perspectives ». In: Médecine/sciences, 16, 1161-71. [Online]: http://www.ipubli.inserm.fr/bitstream/handle/10608/1549/MS_2000_11_1161.pdf?sequence=6

Verdon, L. (2011). « Violence, norme et régulation sociale au Moyen Âge ». Rives méditerranéennes, 11-25. [Online]: https://journals.openedition.org/rives/4060#quotation